Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
4 whales traded $51K on this market since Oct 31, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.0¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
4 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Service
1,191 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 99¢ | $31K | — |
| Frozen-Birdwatcher
94 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $15K |
| Enraged-Invite
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.8K |
| Attached-Pump
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.7K |
Where the whale money went
-
No$31K100% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $20K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 31 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793689244).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | $146K | 19 | Open | |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | $95K | 12 | Open | |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | $87K | 22 | Open | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | $142K | 35 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | $345K | 58 | Open | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $1.48M | 67 | Open | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | $68K | 3 | Open | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | $387K | 33 | Open |