Fruitful-Parade
Skill vs luck
Fruitful-Parade on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit +$110. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −6.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 20, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Fruitful-Parade: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 20, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x0ab1c1f7f8de728dc291f9cb4788dc2a8c517df3. Data CC BY 4.0.
Fruitful-Parade: +$110 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$2
- Oct 4 – Oct 20
- +$111
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | SELL No @ 99.9¢ | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19? ↗ | $1.9K |
| Oct 19 | BUY No @ 94¢ | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19? ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 3.5 |
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 3.5 | $3.8K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Yes
@ 89¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | $1.8K |
| Aug 21 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score |
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score | $1.5K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?