Married-Uniformity
0xb36cfbf83a716c55507a81ace255480b9ed31077
Married-Uniformity: −$457 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$457
return —
Settled bets
6
$0 staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 3%–56%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$42
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$330
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$745
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | SELL Yes
@ 83¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | $1.2K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Yes
@ 60¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? |
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | $1.1K |
| Sep 16 | SELL Yes
@ 99.77¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | $2.1K |
| Sep 13 | SELL No
@ 62¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | $1.2K |
| Sep 9 | SELL No
@ 91¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | $1.2K |
| Sep 8 | SELL No
@ 38¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | $1.1K |
| Aug 20 | SELL No
@ 96¢
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | $1.0K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.