Polymarket market · Other

Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5

Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales traded $70K on this market since Oct 26, 73% of their buying on Over. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 2.7¢ more per share, with 63% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 27% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$11K and 4 lost −$51K: −$39K between them. Biggest win: Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf, +$5.4K on Under. Biggest loss: Bulky-Questioner, −$40K on Over.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Bulky-Questioner
16 settled bets Worse than the odds
Over @ 44¢ $40K — −$40K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,130 settled bets Beat the odds*
Under @ 65¢ $8.3K — +$4.4K
Soggy-Comestible
112 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 44¢ $7.0K — −$7.0K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,056 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 56¢ $6.8K — +$5.4K
Miserable-Poison
1,357 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 70¢ $3.7K — +$1.6K
Glaring-Salt
2,096 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 44¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Fake-Bitter
1,490 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 43¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Over lost
    $51K
    73% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. Under won
    $19K
    27% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793084411).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
About this data · run 1793084411, computed 2026-10-27 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793084411 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed