Fickle-Game
0xe72bb501df5306c75c89383d48a1e81073fbb0a0
Fickle-Game: +$25K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$25K
return +52.7%
Settled bets
4
$48K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$24K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$894
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | BUY No
@ 72¢
Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? |
Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | $2.3K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $11K |
| Sep 6 | BUY No
@ 49¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? |
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | $21K |
| Aug 27 | BUY No
@ 87¢
Will FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? |
Will FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? | $24K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Yes
@ 65¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23? |
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23? | $1.0K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.