Polymarket market · Other
Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5
Resolved: Over won · See it on Polymarket ↗
7 whales traded $61K on this market since Oct 26, 83% of their buying on Under. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 6 minutes later would have cost 1.7¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Over won, with 18% of the whale buying on it. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$11 and 3 lost −$14K: −$14K between them. Biggest win: Trusty-Downtown, +$11 on Over. Biggest loss: Gleeful-Cauliflower, −$7.3K on Under.
The whales on this market
7 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cold-Beech-Ability
77 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $37K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,130 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Under @ 36¢ | $7.3K | — | −$7.3K |
| Dizzy-Fellow
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 52¢ | $1.7K | $3.9K | — |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,056 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 36¢ | $4.8K | — | −$4.8K |
| Trusty-Downtown
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Over @ 54¢ | $2.9K | — | +$11 |
| 0x8191…da72
356 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 63¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Homely-Zucchini-Bit
266 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Under lost$15K83% of whale buying · 4 buyers
-
Over won$3.3K18% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $43K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5 | $70K | 7 | Won: Under | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $130K | 18 | Won: No | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25? | $86K | 16 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | $162K | 40 | Open | |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26? | $55K | 12 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $200K | 28 | Won: No | |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | $52K | 13 | Open | |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | $175K | 5 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?