Polymarket market · Other

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales traded $86K on this market since Oct 26, 95% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.6¢ more per share, with 93% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 95% of the whale buying on it. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$24K and 2 lost −$2.5K: +$21K between them. Biggest win: Fortunate-Plagiarism, +$8.2K on Yes. Biggest loss: Spiffy-Revenue, −$1.4K on No.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Splendid-Armour-Knee
10 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 87¢ $1.9K $25K —
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,056 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 72¢ $15K — +$6.0K
Fortunate-Plagiarism
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 61¢ $13K — +$8.2K
0x0f34…7684
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 66¢ $6.7K — +$3.4K
Hurtful-Guarantee-Rhubarb
42 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 61¢ $5.0K — +$3.3K
Short-Term-Aspic
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.7¢ $5.0K — +$15
Extra-Large-Patron
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 62¢ $1.1K $1.7K +$652
Lustrous-Waiter
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 74¢ $2.0K — +$708
Impolite-Hardware-Wax
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 71¢ $1.5K — +$601
Spiffy-Revenue
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 34¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Monstrous-Dew
481 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Organic-Bustle-Lumberman
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Impressive-Mangle
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,130 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 27¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Weary-Research-Dancing
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —
Zesty-Credit-Maniac
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 48¢ $1.0K — +$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $52K
    95% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $31K sold
  2. No lost
    $2.5K
    5% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793084411).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
About this data · run 1793084411, computed 2026-10-27 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793084411 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed