Mortified-Roast

0xd6b6f6924341b00626e603240f799644d4b6342b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Mortified-Roast: +$1.1K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.1K
return +104.1%
Settled bets
1
$1.0K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 21%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY No @ 82¢
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? $1.4K
Sep 30 BUY Yes @ 60¢
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $1.0K
Sep 23 BUY No @ 85¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $1.1K
Sep 23 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? $3.0K
Sep 22 BUY No @ 99.6¢
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $2.0K
Sep 22 BUY No @ 99.2¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $2.0K
Sep 22 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $2.0K
Sep 22 BUY No @ 96¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $1.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed