0x19d7…8415
Skill vs luck
0x19d7…8415 on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$12. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0x19d7…8415: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x19d75a78674133ccc9227df76b30dcfa6c338415. Data CC BY 4.0.
0x19d7…8415: −$12 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- −$12
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 26 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | $10K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.