Polymarket market · Other

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales traded $77K on this market since Oct 26, 91% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 7 minutes later would have cost 3.4¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 91% of the whale buying on it. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$4.4K and 1 lost −$1.3K: +$3.1K between them. Biggest win: Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf, +$2.3K on Yes. Biggest loss: Silky-Subroutine, −$1.3K on No.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Vengeful-Running-Technique
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 52¢ $6.7K $63K —
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,056 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 57¢ $3.2K — +$2.3K
Yawning-Chicken
302 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 55¢ $1.5K — +$1.2K
Downright-Internet-Crumb
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 61¢ $1.4K — +$867
Silky-Subroutine
301 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 24¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $13K
    91% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $63K sold
  2. No lost
    $1.3K
    10% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 26 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793084411).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $1.40M 160 Won: Yes
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? $80K 12 Open
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? $132K 23 Open
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $412K 64 Won: No
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? $114K 23 Won: Mbappé
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries $589K 13 Won: Golden State Valkyries
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? $1.18M 122 Open
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $495K 73 Won: No
About this data · run 1793084411, computed 2026-10-27 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793084411 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed