Polymarket market · Sports

UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Resolved: Marlon Vera won · See it on Polymarket ↗

17 whales put $64K into this market since Sep 16, 55% of their buying on Charles Jourdain. Marlon Vera won. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$8.3K and 7 lost −$19K: −$11K between them.

The whales on this market

17 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Anguished-Clam
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Marlon Vera @ 36¢ $3.0K $11K —
Distant-Pomelo
158 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Charles Jourdain @ 66¢ $9.3K — −$9.3K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Charles Jourdain @ 26¢ $6.6K — +$754
Bruised-Dragonfruit
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.0K —
Admired-Doubter
107 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Marlon Vera @ 44¢ $3.9K — +$5.0K
Scary-Fannypack
123 settled bets Beat the odds*
Marlon Vera @ 98¢ $3.6K — +$58
Crooked-Building
11 settled bets Too few bets
Charles Jourdain @ 66¢ $3.5K — −$1.9K
Mysterious-Offense
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Marlon Vera @ 95¢ $3.1K — −$1.2K
Gleeful-Pricing
5 settled bets Too few bets
Charles Jourdain @ 65¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
Superior-Artificer-Heifer
105 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Charles Jourdain @ 66¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Equal-Felony
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.8K —
0x6db5…e279
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Marlon Vera @ 93¢ $1.6K — +$126
Strident-Trace-Yacht
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.6K —
Expert-Statement
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Charles Jourdain @ 56¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Marlon Vera @ 35¢ $1.3K — +$2.4K
Trusty-Amusement
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Amusing-Erosion-Vise
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Charles Jourdain @ 64¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Charles Jourdain lost
    $23K
    55% of whale buying · 8 buyers
  2. Marlon Vera won
    $17K
    41% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $21K sold
  3. Marlon Vera lost
    $2.0K
    5% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 16 to Sep 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed