Gleeful-Pricing

0xec5a3852788958a1448fc349a971a82e39012e90

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Gleeful-Pricing: −$4.0K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.0K
return −41.7%
Settled bets
5
$9.6K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.2K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.4K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$1.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY Maple Leafs @ 51¢
Senators vs. Maple Leafs
Senators vs. Maple Leafs $1.5K
Sep 19 BUY Charles Jourdain @ 65¢
UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)
UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) $2.4K
Sep 13 SELL Garcia @ 99.9¢
Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)
Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) $3.5K
Sep 13 BUY Garcia @ 72¢
Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)
Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) $2.5K
Aug 28 BUY Chargers @ 61¢
Rams vs. Chargers
Rams vs. Chargers $1.3K
Aug 22 BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 94¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers $2.0K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed