Amusing-Erosion-Vise
0x35d47b5b96b2dadd09fcac5bd4c8b40088a05169
Amusing-Erosion-Vise: −$1.4K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 22%–57%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.4K
return −5.3%
Settled bets
26
$27K staked
Won
38.5%
95% range 22%–57%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$445
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Loopy Godínez
@ 68¢
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) |
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | $1.6K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Indiana
@ 98¢
Indiana vs. Nebraska |
Indiana vs. Nebraska | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Buccaneers
@ 99.9¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys |
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | $2.3K |
| Oct 8 | SELL Milwaukee Brewers
@ 99.9¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres |
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | $1.2K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Ozzy Martin
@ 48¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Salhahuddin Everett vs. Ozzy Martin (Welterweight, Main Card) |
Dana White's Contender Series: Salhahuddin Everett vs. Ozzy Martin (Welterweight, Main Card) | $1.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Daniil Medvedev
@ 62¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $1.3K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Iga Swiatek
@ 75¢
China Open: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatek |
China Open: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatek | $2.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Panthers
@ 77¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.