Equal-Felony
0xc3e550fae1c90b71675f3355e5864c240bea519d
Equal-Felony: +$6.7K on 88 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 59% (95% range 49%–69%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$6.7K
return +9.6%
Settled bets
88
$71K staked
Won
59.1%
95% range 49%–69%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 44 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$464
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$5.3K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$1.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY Daniel Michalski
@ 97¢
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Michalski vs Alessandro Bellifemine |
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Michalski vs Alessandro Bellifemine | $1.7K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Janae Preston
@ 93¢
W35 Las Vegas, NV: Janae Preston vs Ana Grubor |
W35 Las Vegas, NV: Janae Preston vs Ana Grubor | $1.3K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Caroline Werner
@ 99.9¢
Samsun: Elvin Egribel vs Caroline Werner |
Samsun: Elvin Egribel vs Caroline Werner | $1.2K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
@ 99.9¢
W35 Seville: Esther Lopez Alcaraz vs Caijsa Wilda Hennemann |
W35 Seville: Esther Lopez Alcaraz vs Caijsa Wilda Hennemann | $1.1K |
| Oct 5 | BUY MOUZ
@ 95¢
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs |
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Coco Gauff
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun |
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | $1.3K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Tatiana Prozorova
@ 99.9¢
Suzhou: Ruien Zhang vs Tatiana Prozorova |
Suzhou: Ruien Zhang vs Tatiana Prozorova | $1.1K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Tatiana Prozorova
@ 91¢
Suzhou: Ruien Zhang vs Tatiana Prozorova |
Suzhou: Ruien Zhang vs Tatiana Prozorova | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.