Bruised-Dragonfruit
0x6b9bd6d2b8ccc4a5171e9ffcbea69e033ff28484
Bruised-Dragonfruit: −$5.6K on 42 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 64% (95% range 49%–77%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$5.6K
return −7.4%
Settled bets
42
$75K staked
Won
64.3%
95% range 49%–77%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 29 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$551
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$6.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 92¢
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score in First Half |
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score in First Half | $2.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-10-05? |
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-10-05? | $9.0K |
| Oct 5 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
France vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Half |
France vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Half | $13K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
France vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5 |
France vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 92¢
France vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Half |
France vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Half | $1.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 91¢
Netherlands vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score in First Half |
Netherlands vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score in First Half | $2.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Under
@ 94¢
CD Castellón vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 3.5 |
CD Castellón vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 3.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-10-03? | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.