Indelible-Comprehension
0x76550ddc1217abd76b92b0327757ce2f58455661
Indelible-Comprehension: −$4.2K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 7%–59%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$4.2K
return −46.6%
Settled bets
8
$9.1K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 7%–59%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$4.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30 | BUY Down
@ 49¢
Ethereum Up or Down - August 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET |
Ethereum Up or Down - August 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | $1.3K |
| Aug 29 | SELL Down
@ 99.9¢
Ethereum Up or Down - August 29, 4PM ET |
Ethereum Up or Down - August 29, 4PM ET | $1.5K |
| Aug 29 | SELL No
@ 45¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4? | $2.1K |
| Aug 29 | BUY No
@ 53¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4? | $2.5K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Up
@ 56¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | $1.8K |
| Aug 29 | SELL No
@ 56¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $1.1K |
| Aug 29 | BUY No
@ 55¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $1.1K |
| Aug 28 | SELL Yes
@ 19¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.