Polymarket market · Sports
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
Resolved: Mavericks won · See it on Polymarket ↗
5 whales traded $68K on this market since Oct 26, 70% of their buying on Mavericks. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 6 minutes later would have cost 2.2¢ more per share, with 63% of the size there to buy. Mavericks won, with 70% of the whale buying on it. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$48K and 4 lost −$20K: +$28K between them. Biggest win: Glaring-Salt, +$48K on Mavericks. Biggest loss: Grotesque-Answer, −$16K on Heat.
The whales on this market
5 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glaring-Salt
2,096 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Mavericks @ 50¢ | $48K | — | +$48K |
| Grotesque-Answer
74 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Heat @ 53¢ | $16K | — | −$16K |
| Valuable-Animal
144 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 51¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,056 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 63¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Measly-Rethinking-Subtitle
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Heat @ 51¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
Where the whale money went
-
Mavericks won$48K70% of whale buying · 1 buyer
-
Heat lost$20K30% of whale buying · 4 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 26 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Heat | $206K | 19 | Won: Mavericks | |
| Wizards vs. Hornets | $379K | 29 | Won: Hornets | |
| Bulls vs. Celtics | $100K | 10 | Won: Celtics | |
| Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | $354K | 55 | Won: Cavaliers | |
| Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5 | $58K | 5 | Won: Over | |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) | $280K | 5 | Won: Warriors | |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) | $223K | 14 | Won: Cowboys | |
| Pacers vs. Bucks | $169K | 29 | Won: Bucks |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?