Polymarket market · Esports

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved: Bilibili Gaming won · See it on Polymarket ↗

31 whales traded $178K on this market since Oct 29, 63% of their buying on Bilibili Gaming. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.9¢ more per share, with 77% of the size there to buy. Bilibili Gaming won, with 63% of the whale buying on it. Of the 27 whales whose whole position we captured, 20 made +$26K and 7 lost −$53K: −$27K between them. Biggest win: Gracious-Management-Circle, +$8.4K on Bilibili Gaming. Biggest loss: Ultimate-Underpass, −$30K on Top Esports.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 31
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Ultimate-Underpass
261 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Top Esports @ 29¢ $30K — −$30K
Sparse-Outset
395 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bilibili Gaming @ 77¢ $4.6K $22K —
Gracious-Management-Circle
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bilibili Gaming @ 72¢ $22K — +$8.4K
Harmless-Baseball
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Top Esports @ 30¢ $11K — −$11K
Worst-Analogue
458 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bilibili Gaming @ 74¢ $7.4K — +$2.7K
Ethical-Poisoning-Dozen
4 settled bets Too few bets
Bilibili Gaming @ 76¢ $7.1K — +$2.2K
Unconscious-Tower
96 settled bets Worse than the odds
Bilibili Gaming @ 83¢ $6.6K — +$1.3K
Glorious-Detection
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bilibili Gaming @ 72¢ $5.6K — +$2.2K
Misty-Request
242 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bilibili Gaming @ 71¢ $5.5K — +$498
Conscious-Fireman
19 settled bets Too few bets
Bilibili Gaming @ 97¢ $1.9K $3.2K —
Skeletal-Boulevard-Gammaray
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bilibili Gaming @ 72¢ $4.7K — +$1.8K
Scary-Pearl
330 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bilibili Gaming @ 97¢ $4.5K — +$152
Wiry-Mirror
107 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bilibili Gaming @ 76¢ $3.8K — +$1.2K
Tedious-Pagan
426 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bilibili Gaming @ 74¢ $3.7K — +$1.3K
Nervous-Parallelogram
430 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bilibili Gaming @ 74¢ $3.7K — +$1.3K
Alive-Dreamer-Hummus
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Top Esports @ 30¢ $3.2K — −$3.2K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,474 settled bets Beat the odds*
Top Esports @ 29¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Sparkling-Freon
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bilibili Gaming @ 72¢ $1.0K $1.4K +$388
Direct-Behavior-Program
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bilibili Gaming @ 99.3¢ $2.3K — +$16
Serpentine-Selfconfidence
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bilibili Gaming @ 72¢ $2.2K — +$852
Insistent-Workhorse
121 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.2K —
Fearless-Misnomer
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Top Esports @ 29¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Infinite-Diaphragm-Federation
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bilibili Gaming @ 99.7¢ $2.0K — +$6
Substantial-Service
1,111 settled bets Beat the odds*
Top Esports @ 28¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Rusty-Eagle
138 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bilibili Gaming @ 71¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K

Where the whale money went

  1. Bilibili Gaming won
    $93K
    63% of whale buying · 22 buyers · $30K sold
  2. Top Esports lost
    $53K
    36% of whale buying · 7 buyers
  3. Bilibili Gaming lost
    $1.8K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 29 to Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793343609).

More esports markets the whales bet on

All Esports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner $351K 49 Won: Top Esports
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage $359K 52 Won: Top Esports
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner $301K 46 Won: Karmine Corp
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner $192K 20 Won: Karmine Corp
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage $67K 20 Won: Karmine Corp
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner $55K 18 Won: GamerLegion
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) $74K 3 Open
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner $89K 20 Won: PARIVISION
About this data · run 1793343609, computed 2026-10-30 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793343609 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed