Conscious-Fireman
0x9ffc01e43568a5883a865ada591a5be694f9aa88
Conscious-Fireman: +$59 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 12%–65%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$59
return +1.4%
Settled bets
9
$4.3K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 12%–65%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$60
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL LOS
@ 99.9¢
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Vitality
@ 98¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner | $1.9K |
| Oct 8 | SELL FlyQuest
@ 99.9¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Team Vitality
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 98¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Team Vitality
@ 99.9¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Solary
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Solary vs Barça eSports - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Solary vs Barça eSports - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | SELL KT Rolster
@ 99.9¢
LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.