Warm-Tuition-Someplace
Skill vs luck
Warm-Tuition-Someplace on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 29% (95% range 8%–64%) · profit −$5.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Warm-Tuition-Someplace: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe07cec6951315e1d1dae94af1569b466b4d96c95. Data CC BY 4.0.
Warm-Tuition-Someplace: −$5.2K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 8%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- −$2.0K
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- −$3.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | SELL Over @ 62¢ | Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Over
@ 33¢
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5 |
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5 | $1.9K |
| Oct 24 | BUY
@ 23¢
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24? |
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24? | $1.6K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Over
@ 49¢
Torino FC vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5 |
Torino FC vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5 | $4.0K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Over
@ 39¢
IF Elfsborg vs. Malmo FF: O/U 2.5 |
IF Elfsborg vs. Malmo FF: O/U 2.5 | $2.8K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Over
@ 34¢
AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5 |
AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5 | $1.7K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Over
@ 49¢
OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5 |
OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5 | $2.0K |
| Oct 19 | BUY
@ 41¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score AND Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5 |
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score AND Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5 | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.