0x8191…da72
0x8191c793fd7edbadf0fae651f55c1da3b638da72
0x8191…da72: −$27K on 211 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 76% (95% range 70%–81%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$27K
return −5.5%
Settled bets
211
$501K staked
Won
75.8%
95% range 70%–81%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 211 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$10K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$8.0K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$9.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Under
@ 89¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5 |
Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5 | $1.3K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Under
@ 75¢
Fortuna Sittard vs. FC Twente: O/U 2.5 |
Fortuna Sittard vs. FC Twente: O/U 2.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Under
@ 89¢
RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 6.5 |
RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 6.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Under
@ 65¢
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5 |
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5 | $1.9K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Under
@ 55¢
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5 |
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5 | $2.3K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Under
@ 80¢
FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5 |
FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Under
@ 87¢
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 |
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Under
@ 80¢
Ipswich Town FC vs. Fulham FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 |
Ipswich Town FC vs. Fulham FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.