Utilized-Cheesecake
0x700a306c6dd9c87db2f5519b1bfae0340e83a239
Utilized-Cheesecake: −$15K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 55%–95%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$15K
return −10.0%
Settled bets
12
$148K staked
Won
83.3%
95% range 55%–95%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 3 – Sep 18
- −$130
- Sep 18 – Oct 2
- +$263
- Oct 2 – Oct 17
- −$15K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7%
(2,007 positions).
In the live feed
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | BUY Over @ 98¢ | Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 0.5 ↗ | $73K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Yes @ 99¢ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? ↗ | $3.1K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Yes @ 99¢ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Yes @ 25¢ | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? ↗ | $6.4K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Over
@ 98¢
Netherlands vs. Serbia: O/U 0.5 |
Netherlands vs. Serbia: O/U 0.5 | $28K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Over
@ 94¢
Kosovo vs. Austria: O/U 0.5 |
Kosovo vs. Austria: O/U 0.5 | $20K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 90¢
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? |
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | $5.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Over @ 94¢ | Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 ↗ | $7.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.