0x3801…7013
Skill vs luck
0x3801…7013 on Polymarket: 9 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–30%) · profit −$138. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −6.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 20, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0x3801…7013: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 20, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x3801bcfa49d07b56aa8f152babb36c14b16d7013. Data CC BY 4.0.
0x3801…7013: −$138 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–30%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 4 – Oct 20
- −$138
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | SELL No @ 99.8¢ | Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16? ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 19 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Montpellier HSC win on 2026-10-19? |
Will Montpellier HSC win on 2026-10-19? | $1.7K |
| Oct 19 | SELL No
@ 94¢
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19? |
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19? | $1.7K |
| Oct 18 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
FC Cincinnati leading at halftime? |
FC Cincinnati leading at halftime? | $1.5K |
| Oct 18 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-10-18? |
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-10-18? | $1.2K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 17 | SELL No
@ 99.12¢
Will AC Lumezzane win on 2026-10-17? |
Will AC Lumezzane win on 2026-10-17? | $1.8K |
| Oct 17 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-10-17? |
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-10-17? | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?