Polymarket market · Esports

Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

Resolved: Natus Vincere won · See it on Polymarket ↗

31 whales put $114K into this market since Sep 26, 48% of their buying on Aurora. Natus Vincere won. Of the 22 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$17K and 13 lost −$44K: −$27K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 31
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Dearest-Urge
285 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 49¢ $12K — −$7.0K
Straight-Eveningwear-Gerbil
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 48¢ $10K — −$5.7K
Straight-Recipient
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 48¢ $9.8K — −$9.8K
Periodic-Garbage
116 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 51¢ $3.9K $3.8K −$86
Wrong-Respite
22 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.7K —
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds*
Aurora @ 60¢ $5.1K — −$5.1K
Medical-Subtitle-Leg
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 43¢ $3.8K — +$5.1K
Yellowish-Macadamia-Heroine
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 52¢ $1.3K $2.3K —
Nervous-Parallelogram
283 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 49¢ $3.4K — +$3.6K
All-Peasant-Drug
811 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 85¢ $3.4K — +$608
Tedious-Pagan
293 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 52¢ $3.4K — +$3.1K
Worthless-Researcher
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 63¢ $3.4K — +$2.0K
Cautious-Vine
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 95¢ $3.1K — +$165
Green-Confidentiality
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.1K —
Miniature-Shadowbox-Blazer
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 70¢ $3.1K — −$91
Wary-Shipping
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ $3.0K — +$3
Itchy-Citron
78 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 50¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Inborn-Chalice
105 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 57¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Oily-Bowtie
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 44¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Trifling-Funding
5 settled bets Too few bets
Aurora @ 54¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Fussy-Talent
2 settled bets Too few bets
Aurora @ 58¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Worst-Analogue
305 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 49¢ $2.4K — +$2.6K
Cumbersome-Skirt
130 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.3K —
Sparkling-Meal
87 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.2K —
Plain-Attitude
91 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 94¢ $1.9K — +$120

Where the whale money went

  1. Aurora lost
    $43K
    48% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $6.3K sold
  2. Natus Vincere won
    $35K
    40% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $17K sold
  3. Aurora lost
    $11K
    12% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $2.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed