Miniature-Shadowbox-Blazer
0x31672d40d33811a35412752de8d249f6ea3532a2
Miniature-Shadowbox-Blazer: +$1.2K on 43 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 30%–59%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$1.2K
return +2.7%
Settled bets
43
$47K staked
Won
44.2%
95% range 30%–59%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 32 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$4.3K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$10
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$3.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 58¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 7 | BUY CyberHero
@ 50¢
Dota 2: CyberHero vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: CyberHero vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 71¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 35¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | $1.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 49¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 54¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Aurora
@ 42¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 70¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $2.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.