Wary-Shipping
0x1943ada1083d8b3b7e4356cc179ee942ea2c1561
Wary-Shipping: −$686 on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 93% (95% range 70%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$686
return −1.7%
Settled bets
15
$40K staked
Won
93.3%
95% range 70%–99%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$9
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.2K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$486
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Blasterbl
@ 99¢
Dota 2: Blasterbl vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Blasterbl vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $2.5K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Xtreme Gaming
@ 99.83¢
Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $4.7K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $3.0K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $1.6K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 72¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 99.73¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | $1.4K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | $5.7K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Conventus Stellarum
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner | $2.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.