Purple-Medal-Prosecution
Skill vs luck
Purple-Medal-Prosecution on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 5%–70%) · profit −$3.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 19, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Purple-Medal-Prosecution: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 19, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x88db9afb5f365d09438f0baea94c1969f8b354a4. Data CC BY 4.0.
Purple-Medal-Prosecution: −$3.5K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.3K
- Oct 4 – Oct 19
- −$2.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY Team Falcons @ 61¢ | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 15 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 71¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A | $1.4K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Thunder
@ 49¢
Pelicans vs. Thunder |
Pelicans vs. Thunder | $1.2K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Under
@ 55¢
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? |
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | $1.3K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?