Polymarket market · Other
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
13 whales traded $62K on this market since Oct 11, 91% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
13 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Personal-Bake
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 88¢ | $15K | — |
| Serene-Sculpting
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 89¢ | $9.7K | — |
| Grubby-Chandelier
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 89¢ | $8.1K | — |
| Peppery-Capital
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 88¢ | $6.8K | — |
| Grounded-Depression
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 89¢ | $6.5K | — |
| Calm-Dusk
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 90¢ | $5.8K | — |
| Valid-Underground
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K |
| Sticky-Closing
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 89¢ | $1.8K | — |
| Moist-Dame
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K |
| Fearless-Misnomer
35 settled bets Worse than the odds |
No @ 13¢ | $1.2K | — |
| 0xfb59…83f9
no settled record |
Yes @ 89¢ | $1.2K | — |
| 0x55b4…80ea
no settled record |
No @ 11¢ | $1.2K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$52K91% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $2.9K sold
-
No$5.3K9% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $2.0K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 11 to Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791961222).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | $112K | 32 | Open | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | $57K | 13 | Open | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | $191K | 33 | Open | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $289K | 44 | Open | |
| Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | $228K | 7 | Open | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $402K | 83 | Open | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | $155K | 41 | Open | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | $70K | 9 | Open |