Blissful-Difficulty
0xc5d8d3722f46f43d58d144c2e2772a9c30b2a00b
Blissful-Difficulty: +$6.6K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 47% (95% range 25%–70%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$6.6K
return +5.8%
Settled bets
15
$113K staked
Won
46.7%
95% range 25%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$19K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$13K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY South Alabama
@ 81¢
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State |
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State | $4.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY South Alabama
@ 81¢
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State |
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State | $4.2K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Shopify Rebellion
@ 57¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Shopify Rebellion
@ 57¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Shopify Rebellion
@ 57¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Sangal
@ 39¢
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs | $3.2K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Grêmio Esports
@ 10¢
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Under
@ 25¢
Flyers vs. Devils: O/U 4.5 |
Flyers vs. Devils: O/U 4.5 | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.