Possible-Analysis

0xd2d4515a0e72d5a07fe6d2b928f53f151c29373b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Possible-Analysis: +$5.9K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$5.9K
return +52.3%
Settled bets
2
$11K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 25 – Oct 13
+$5.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6% (2,332 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 12 BUY Falcons @ 54¢
Ravens vs. Falcons
Ravens vs. Falcons $1.5K
Oct 11 BUY Jets @ 57¢
Browns vs. Jets
Browns vs. Jets $9.8K
Oct 1 BUY @ 31¢
North Texas vs. Tulsa: 1H Moneyline AND 1H Spread: Steelers (-3.5) AND Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
North Texas vs. Tulsa: 1H Moneyline AND 1H Spread: Steelers (-3.5) AND Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) $2.3K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed