Rude-Pickaxe
0xa315afc43cd6c3fc06774d33d769d0ff043ecabb
Rude-Pickaxe: +$22K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 77% (95% range 50%–92%). Skill or luck: beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone).
Profit
+$22K
return +45.3%
Settled bets
13
$48K staked
Won
76.9%
95% range 50%–92%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$135
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$702
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$21K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY San Jose State
@ 47¢
Spread: Hawai'i (-2.5) |
Spread: Hawai'i (-2.5) | $1.8K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Texas Tech
@ 83¢
Texas Tech vs. Colorado |
Texas Tech vs. Colorado | $1.5K |
| Sep 27 | BUY USC
@ 50¢
Spread: Oregon (-3.5) |
Spread: Oregon (-3.5) | $9.5K |
| Sep 26 | BUY USC
@ 49¢
Spread: Oregon (-3.5) |
Spread: Oregon (-3.5) | $2.0K |
| Sep 26 | BUY UAB
@ 50¢
Navy vs. UAB |
Navy vs. UAB | $4.0K |
| Sep 26 | BUY UAB
@ 50¢
Navy vs. UAB |
Navy vs. UAB | $5.8K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Florida
@ 61¢
Ole Miss vs. Florida |
Ole Miss vs. Florida | $4.8K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Clemson
@ 54¢
Clemson vs. California |
Clemson vs. California | $4.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.