Funny-Shoelace

0x69f376d26661fe23fe0683e61de258cbd18fc6af

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Funny-Shoelace: −$4.4K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 14% (95% range 3%–51%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.4K
return −69.6%
Settled bets
7
$6.3K staked
Won
14.3%
95% range 3%–51%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$4.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 27 BUY Cowboys @ 48¢
Ravens vs. Cowboys
Ravens vs. Cowboys $2.0K
Sep 27 SELL Browns @ 99.9¢
Panthers vs. Browns
Panthers vs. Browns $1.9K
Sep 27 BUY Dylan Dietrich @ 40¢
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Dylan Dietrich
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Dylan Dietrich $1.4K
Sep 26 SELL Igor Ribeiro Marcondes @ 45¢
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes $1.0K
Sep 26 BUY Oksana Selekhmeteva @ 72¢
Tolentino: Julia Grabher vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
Tolentino: Julia Grabher vs Oksana Selekhmeteva $1.5K
Sep 25 BUY UAB @ 44¢
Navy vs. UAB
Navy vs. UAB $1.4K
Sep 25 SELL Falcons @ 99.9¢
Spread: Packers (-4.5)
Spread: Packers (-4.5) $1.3K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed