Accomplished-Courage

0x2117912fee43e703fe9626fc934ad8653cf39bed

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Accomplished-Courage: −$2.8K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 41%–93%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.8K
return −14.1%
Settled bets
8
$20K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 41%–93%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$2.1K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$3.8K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$3.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 SELL HANJIN BRION @ 99.9¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $2.0K
Oct 3 BUY HANJIN BRION @ 54¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $1.1K
Sep 26 BUY LYON @ 94¢
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs $2.0K
Sep 26 BUY Athletics @ 88¢
Houston Astros vs. Athletics
Houston Astros vs. Athletics $2.0K
Sep 26 SELL UAB @ 99.9¢
Navy vs. UAB
Navy vs. UAB $1.8K
Sep 12 BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 84¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $5.0K
Sep 12 BUY Gen.G @ 63¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $2.0K
Sep 3 BUY Yes @ 57¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? $3.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed