Polymarket market · Other
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
25 whales put $70K into this market since Sep 18, 97% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 22 whales whose whole position we captured, 21 made +$4.9K and 1 lost −$2.0K: +$2.9K between them.
The whales on this market
25 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fearful-Congress
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 90¢ | $6.5K | $1.1K | +$596 |
| Damp-Accountant
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 99.8¢ | $7.0K | — | +$14 |
| Hateful-Generation
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 97¢ | $5.5K | — | +$157 |
| Single-Air
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 96¢ | $4.6K | — | +$192 |
| Accurate-Spirit
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 86¢ | $4.5K | — | +$765 |
| Attached-Pump
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 82¢ | $3.8K | — | +$843 |
| Flustered-Impala
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 92¢ | $3.5K | — | +$307 |
| Bleak-Full
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 89¢ | $1.8K | $1.4K | +$25 |
| Frank-Amendment-Overcharge
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 98¢ | $3.0K | — | +$54 |
| Ripe-Cake
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 93¢ | $1.0K | $1.8K | — |
| Immense-Patriot
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 10¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Liquid-Head
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 98¢ | $2.0K | — | +$35 |
| Weird-Freedom
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 97¢ | $1.9K | — | +$60 |
| Overjoyed-Camera-Implementation
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K | — |
| Smooth-Evolution
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 90¢ | $1.8K | — | +$199 |
| Similar-Format
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 89¢ | $1.8K | — | +$220 |
| Imperturbable-Simvastatin-Pill
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99¢ | $1.8K | — | +$23 |
| Silent-Obsidian
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 85¢ | $1.7K | — | +$300 |
| Murky-Rhetoric
12 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 85¢ | $1.6K | — | +$282 |
| Silky-Geometry
191 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 94¢ | $1.6K | — | +$109 |
| Grounded-Depression
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 75¢ | $1.6K | — | +$525 |
| Querulous-Futon
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 98¢ | $1.6K | — | +$40 |
| Vengeful-Netsuke
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Constant-Glut
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 98¢ | $1.2K | — | +$27 |
| Quizzical-Hire
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 92¢ | $1.0K | — | +$89 |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$61K97% of whale buying · 22 buyers · $7.7K sold
-
No lost$2.0K3% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 18 to Sep 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).