Polymarket market · Other

Florida vs. Missouri

Resolved: Missouri won · See it on Polymarket ↗

22 whales put $307K into this market since Sep 27, 56% of their buying on Florida. Missouri won. Of the 20 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$56K and 11 lost −$57K: −$689 between them.

The whales on this market

22 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Shoddy-Harmonise
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Florida @ 69¢ $119K — −$11K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Florida @ 68¢ $36K — +$2.6K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Florida @ 65¢ $20K — −$20K
Grown-Difference-Burnout
125 settled bets Beat the odds*
Florida @ 66¢ $19K — −$9.3K
Negligible-Somersault
120 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Missouri @ 35¢ $16K — +$29K
Sparse-Outset
327 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $14K —
Smart-Elbow
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Missouri @ 56¢ $11K — +$8.8K
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Missouri @ 63¢ $10K — −$659
Normal-Check
144 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Missouri @ 57¢ $10K — +$7.7K
Shiny-Advertisement
14 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $9.3K —
Scary-Fannypack
123 settled bets Beat the odds*
Missouri @ 99¢ $8.9K — +$90
Narrow-Authorization
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Missouri @ 83¢ $8.7K — +$1.8K
Imaginary-Gallery
244 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Missouri @ 84¢ $5.6K — +$1.1K
Exhausted-Frosting
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Florida @ 67¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Substantial-Timber
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Florida @ 29¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Kaleidoscopic-Clue
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Florida @ 59¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Trivial-Other-Spume
10 settled bets Worse than the odds
Missouri @ 72¢ $2.5K — +$980
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Florida @ 70¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Superior-Artificer-Heifer
105 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Florida @ 68¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Great-Billing
10 settled bets Too few bets
Florida @ 67¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Corrupt-Poisoning
284 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Missouri @ 27¢ $1.4K — +$3.7K
Cautious-Smith-Soul
3 settled bets Too few bets
Florida @ 67¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Florida lost
    $157K
    56% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $14K sold
  2. Missouri won
    $126K
    44% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $9.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 27 to Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed