Cautious-Smith-Soul

0xc26a2320ff8191fd838eb24cb319968cc78eea14

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Cautious-Smith-Soul: −$1.6K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.6K
return −49.9%
Settled bets
3
$3.2K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$1.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY Lions @ 66¢
Lions vs. Panthers
Lions vs. Panthers $1.0K
Oct 4 BUY Colts @ 67¢
Colts vs. Commanders
Colts vs. Commanders $1.1K
Oct 3 BUY Florida @ 67¢
Florida vs. Missouri
Florida vs. Missouri $1.1K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed