Polymarket market · Other

Louisville vs. NC State

Resolved: NC State won · See it on Polymarket ↗

6 whales put $71K into this market since Oct 3, 56% of their buying on Louisville. NC State won. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$15K and 3 lost −$37K: −$22K between them.

The whales on this market

6 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Sparse-Outset
299 settled bets Can't tell from luck
NC State @ 84¢ $31K — −$8.7K
Esteemed-Cloves
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Louisville @ 61¢ $22K — −$22K
Corrupt-Poisoning
258 settled bets Beat the odds*
NC State @ 52¢ $7.9K — +$7.3K
Shiny-Advertisement
12 settled bets Too few bets
Louisville @ 64¢ $6.3K — −$6.3K
Hateful-Chord
157 settled bets Beat the odds*
NC State @ 35¢ $3.9K — +$7.3K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
NC State @ 71¢ $1.1K — +$445

Where the whale money went

  1. Louisville lost
    $40K
    56% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  2. NC State won
    $31K
    44% of whale buying · 4 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed