Polymarket market · Other

East Carolina vs. Memphis

Resolved: Memphis won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales traded $66K on this market since Oct 22, 60% of their buying on Memphis. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.8¢ less per share, with 96% of the size there to buy. Memphis won, with 60% of the whale buying on it. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$14K and 4 lost −$21K: −$7.0K between them. Biggest win: Grown-Difference-Burnout, +$4.4K on Memphis. Biggest loss: Shoddy-Harmonise, −$8.8K on East Carolina.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Grown-Difference-Burnout
297 settled bets Beat the odds*
Memphis @ 45¢ $11K — +$4.4K
Shoddy-Harmonise
109 settled bets Can't tell from luck
East Carolina @ 43¢ $8.8K — −$8.8K
Ironclad-Instructor
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Memphis @ 80¢ $8.0K — +$2.0K
0xe015…6ffd
179 settled bets Can't tell from luck
East Carolina @ 58¢ $7.2K — −$3.6K
Corrupt-Poisoning
416 settled bets Can't tell from luck
East Carolina @ 31¢ $6.2K — −$6.2K
Prickly-Barrel
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Memphis @ 74¢ $5.6K — +$2.0K
Practical-Definition
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Memphis @ 77¢ $5.4K — +$1.6K
Normal-High-Soy
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Memphis @ 72¢ $5.2K — +$2.0K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,599 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Memphis @ 75¢ $3.2K — +$1.1K
Careful-Gazebo
155 settled bets Can't tell from luck
East Carolina @ 25¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Adolescent-Style-Brief
66 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.6K —
Irresponsible-Autumn
105 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Memphis @ 70¢ $1.3K — +$540
Stale-Glue
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Memphis won
    $38K
    60% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $2.7K sold
  2. East Carolina lost
    $26K
    40% of whale buying · 5 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 22 to Oct 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792825211).

About this data · run 1792825211, computed 2026-10-24 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792825211 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed