Polymarket market · Other
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5
Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗
8 whales traded $111K on this market since Oct 22, 94% of their buying on Under. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 4.0¢ more per share, with 58% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 94% of the whale buying on it. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$48K and 4 lost −$4.5K: +$44K between them. Biggest win: Prickly-Clasp-Discount, +$44K on Under. Biggest loss: Imaginative-Doubter, −$1.3K on Over.
The whales on this market
8 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Clasp-Discount
290 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Under @ 59¢ | $63K | — | +$44K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,599 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 85¢ | $35K | — | +$3.9K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,764 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Under @ 95¢ | $4.1K | — | +$227 |
| Creamy-Guest
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 95¢ | $3.7K | — | +$196 |
| Miserable-Poison
1,262 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 94¢ | $2.1K | — | −$960 |
| Imaginative-Doubter
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Over @ 44¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| All-Peasant-Drug
1,059 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 41¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Disloyal-Angina
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 21¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Under won$105K94% of whale buying · 5 buyers
-
Over lost$3.5K3% of whale buying · 3 buyers
-
Under lost$3.0K3% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 22 to Oct 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | $89K | 21 | Open | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | $86K | 23 | Open | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $100K | 21 | Open | |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | $172K | 23 | Open | |
| East Carolina vs. Memphis | $66K | 13 | Won: Memphis | |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? | $62K | 5 | Open | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | $260K | 36 | Open | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | $91K | 18 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?