Polymarket market · Other

Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales traded $62K on this market since Oct 22, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 3.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
0x75be…e546
no settled record
No @ 89¢ $8.0K $8.2K
0xb4b5…91b2
no settled record
No @ 89¢ $7.6K $7.8K
0x6b1a…89ff
no settled record
No @ 89¢ $7.1K $7.3K
0xf02a…0362
no settled record
No @ 89¢ $7.0K $7.1K
0x89e2…743c
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.9K

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $30K
    100% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $32K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 22 to Oct 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792825211).

About this data · run 1792825211, computed 2026-10-24 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792825211 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed