Polymarket market · Other
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
6 whales traded $60K on this market since Oct 14, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 6.1¢ more per share, with 30% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
6 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x30ba…847a
no settled record |
No @ 75¢ | $7.5K | $8.0K |
| 0xfe1e…52fb
no settled record |
No @ 75¢ | $6.8K | $7.3K |
| 0x8aa0…50a5
no settled record |
No @ 75¢ | $5.8K | $6.2K |
| 0x8d03…7de0
no settled record |
No @ 65¢ | $7.6K | — |
| 0x5a63…9203
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $6.9K |
| 0xadc1…53a6
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $4.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
No$28K100% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $28K sold
-
Yes$00% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $4.1K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14 to Oct 19, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $492K | 87 | Open | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | $76K | 20 | Open | |
| Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | $360K | 8 | Open | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $77K | 20 | Open | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $544K | 61 | Open | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $524K | 61 | Open | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | $56K | 20 | Open | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | $52K | 6 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?