Lopsided-Overexertion
0x737365b37169b6f5158dca160d89b93a3631fc38
Lopsided-Overexertion: −$12K on 22 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 31%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$12K
return −43.6%
Settled bets
22
$27K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 31%–69%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$14K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$2.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | SELL Kyoka Okamura
@ 60¢
Suzhou: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kyoka Okamura |
Suzhou: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kyoka Okamura | $1.7K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Darja Vidmanova
@ 37¢
Suzhou: Kyoka Okamura vs Darja Vidmanova |
Suzhou: Kyoka Okamura vs Darja Vidmanova | $1.3K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Darja Vidmanova
@ 32¢
Suzhou: Kyoka Okamura vs Darja Vidmanova |
Suzhou: Kyoka Okamura vs Darja Vidmanova | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Hanyu Guo
@ 63¢
Suzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Aliona Falei |
Suzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Aliona Falei | $2.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Zhuoxuan Bai
@ 86¢
Suzhou: Moyuka Uchijima vs Zhuoxuan Bai |
Suzhou: Moyuka Uchijima vs Zhuoxuan Bai | $1.3K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Viktorija Golubic
@ 92¢
China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Peyton Stearns |
China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Peyton Stearns | $2.9K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Viktorija Golubic
@ 80¢
China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Peyton Stearns |
China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Peyton Stearns | $2.5K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Viktorija Golubic
@ 42¢
China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Peyton Stearns |
China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Peyton Stearns | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.