Polymarket market · Sports
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien
Resolved: Karen Khachanov won · See it on Polymarket ↗
37 whales put $321K into this market since Sep 7, 68% of their buying on Learner Tien. Karen Khachanov won. Of the 29 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$90K and 22 lost −$161K: −$71K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 37| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courageous-Robin
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Learner Tien @ 63¢ | $42K | — | −$42K |
| Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Learner Tien @ 60¢ | $40K | — | −$26K |
| Spry-Chair
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karen Khachanov @ 37¢ | $36K | — | +$61K |
| 0x78be…bde0
194 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Learner Tien @ 60¢ | $32K | — | −$32K |
| Sudden-Hide
116 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $25K | — |
| Tempting-Chrysalis
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Karen Khachanov @ 57¢ | $19K | $5.2K | — |
| Pastel-Push
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karen Khachanov @ 57¢ | $4.7K | $11K | — |
| Trivial-Ravioli
228 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Learner Tien @ 62¢ | $13K | — | −$13K |
| Only-Gutter
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karen Khachanov @ 57¢ | $12K | — | +$9.0K |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Learner Tien @ 54¢ | $10K | — | −$10K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Learner Tien @ 58¢ | $9.4K | — | −$5.6K |
| Euphoric-Table
108 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Learner Tien @ 62¢ | $8.0K | — | −$8.0K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karen Khachanov @ 37¢ | $5.3K | — | +$9.0K |
| Sick-Backyard
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $4.6K | — |
| Well-Made-Tissue
13 settled bets Too few bets |
Learner Tien @ 56¢ | $1.9K | $1.9K | — |
| Enchanting-Oats-Veal
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Learner Tien @ 64¢ | $3.5K | — | −$3.5K |
| Colossal-Dump
19 settled bets Too few bets |
Learner Tien @ 73¢ | $2.0K | $1.5K | −$548 |
| Lustrous-Tanker
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K | — |
| Minor-Donut-Candelabra
80 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Karen Khachanov @ 40¢ | $2.5K | — | +$3.8K |
| Second-Loop
46 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Learner Tien @ 77¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Learner Tien @ 57¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| Fabulous-Round
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet
140 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Learner Tien @ 63¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Quixotic-Brow
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Learner Tien @ 64¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Dry-Gather
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karen Khachanov @ 37¢ | $1.9K | — | +$3.2K |
Where the whale money went
-
Learner Tien lost$180K68% of whale buying · 24 buyers · $5.5K sold
-
Karen Khachanov won$85K32% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $47K sold
-
Learner Tien lost$00% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $3.2K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 7 to Sep 8, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).