Unimportant-Show
Skill vs luck
Unimportant-Show on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$7.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Unimportant-Show: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x270b83b76eb536c3d48d74facaba235203842baf. Data CC BY 4.0.
Unimportant-Show: +$7.2K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- +$1.6K
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$5.6K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY Rafael Jodar @ 59¢ | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Rafael Jodar @ 59¢ | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev ↗ | $2.6K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Rafael Jodar @ 59¢ | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev ↗ | $3.5K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Denise Gomes
@ 70¢
UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) |
UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | $3.8K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?