Mushy-Leveret
0xfd4fb07f091e6a6d212f6e4876bd2ebc91bca4d3
Mushy-Leveret: −$8.8K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 23%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$8.8K
return −27.7%
Settled bets
16
$32K staked
Won
43.8%
95% range 23%–67%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$814
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$2.3K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$7.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Qinwen Zheng
@ 69¢
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng |
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng | $3.1K |
| Oct 11 | BUY CA Osasuna
@ 59¢
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5) |
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5) | $2.4K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 60¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | $3.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Wales
@ 57¢
Spread: Norway (-1.5) |
Spread: Norway (-1.5) | $1.1K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Holger Rune
@ 63¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Holger Rune vs Kyrian Jacquet |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Holger Rune vs Kyrian Jacquet | $1.3K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Polina Kudermetova
@ 66¢
China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova |
China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova | $1.8K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Leylah Fernandez
@ 65¢
Singapore Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Talia Gibson |
Singapore Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Talia Gibson | $3.1K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Elise Mertens
@ 68¢
Singapore Open: Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska |
Singapore Open: Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.