Definitive-Resume
0xdceecdb83fcbcc37d381f90ad0c7516824e3bda5
Definitive-Resume: −$369 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$369
return −4.3%
Settled bets
4
$8.7K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 7
- +$3.0K
- Sep 7 – Sep 25
- +$504
- Sep 25 – Oct 13
- −$3.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6%
(2,332 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | SELL No
@ 24¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | $1.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 13¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 11¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.3K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Yes
@ 75¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.3K |
| Sep 30 | SELL Yes
@ 38¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $2.6K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 75¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.1K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Yes
@ 42¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.6K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 45¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.