Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales traded $52K on this market since Aug 22, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
0x7460…2936
no settled record
sold only $0 $17K
Tragic-Scorpion
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $8.3K —
0xddce…f441
no settled record
No @ 98¢ $2.4K $2.4K
Unfortunate-Pray
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $3.9K —
0xda3f…c282
no settled record
sold only $0 $3.4K
Prickly-Signup
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 96¢ $1.5K $1.5K
0x3d2e…c986
no settled record
sold only $0 $2.4K
Unequaled-Thump
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.3K
0x07e1…27af
no settled record
No @ 97¢ $2.0K —
0x511f…9511
no settled record
No @ 98¢ $2.0K —
0xb702…e291
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.3K
0x8328…fe31
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $20K
    100% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $32K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 22 to Oct 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792652408).

About this data · run 1792652408, computed 2026-10-22 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792652408 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed