Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings
0x76dbc01caffa54d0010368ff8d3226d8017f6987
Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings: −$4.1K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 33%–77%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$4.1K
return −9.6%
Settled bets
16
$43K staked
Won
56.2%
95% range 33%–77%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$1.0K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$2.9K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$8.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Yes
@ 78¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | $1.0K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 99.49¢
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? |
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | $2.8K |
| Oct 4 | SELL No
@ 99.6¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | $1.2K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 96¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | $2.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 75¢
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? |
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | $1.9K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 87¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | $1.7K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 84¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | $1.7K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 73¢
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? |
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.