Hideous-Racer
0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418
Hideous-Racer: +$20K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 93% (95% range 70%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$20K
return +21.0%
Settled bets
15
$97K staked
Won
93.3%
95% range 70%–99%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$19K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$1.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | SELL No
@ 71¢
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? |
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | $2.3K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Yes
@ 95¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | $3.8K |
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 89¢
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? |
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | $1.8K |
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 96¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | $9.6K |
| Oct 6 | SELL No
@ 92¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | $3.5K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Yes
@ 97¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | $1.9K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 90¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027? |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027? | $1.2K |
| Oct 1 | SELL No
@ 90¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? |
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | $4.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.