Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
9 whales traded $56K on this market since Aug 26, 89% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.8¢ more per share, with 53% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
9 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Empty-Ball
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 96¢ | $17K | — |
| Wooden-Prescription
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 95¢ | $14K | — |
| Showy-Ottoman
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $13K |
| 0x41b4…dad2
no settled record |
No @ 6¢ | $4.6K | — |
| Downright-Website
18 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 96¢ | $2.3K | — |
| Careful-Bunch
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 96¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Determined-Originality
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 96¢ | $1.0K | — |
| Cute-Farmland
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 95¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$37K89% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $15K sold
-
No$4.6K11% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 26 to Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792306820).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | $177K | 20 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | $380K | 42 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | $106K | 24 | Open | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | $168K | 33 | Open | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $196K | 40 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $172K | 33 | Open | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $76K | 18 | Open | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $483K | 17 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?